Forecasting
Optimize Forecasting Services: price curves, market prediction and revenue outlook
From the long-term price curve that supports an investment to the short-term prediction that decides today’s bid, with the revenue outlook that connects both.
Who this is for
Anyone who has to put a revenue number into a model and then defend it.
- You are building the investment case and need a curve that survives the lender.
- You are sizing a battery and need to know what spread to expect.
- You are negotiating a PPA and want to know whether the offered price is any good.
- You budget revenue every year and want to get closer than last time.
What we actually do
Price curves
Hourly, scenario-based and bankable curves across the life of the asset.
Short-term prediction
Price prediction for day-ahead, intraday and ancillary services.
Revenue forecast
Expected revenue by asset, technology and market, with sensitivities.
Measured predictor
Our short-term predictor is measured against perfect foresight, so you know how much of the achievable value a strategy is really capturing.
Scenarios
Low, central and high price paths, so the model shows a range and not a single number.
How we work
The models are not tied to a single market: we build curves and predictions for any European bidding zone where you have assets or plan to have them.
Fundamentals
We start from the market fundamentals and your asset profile, not from a generic curve.
Model
We build the curve and the revenue case, by scenario and by technology.
Back-testing
We test against realised prices and tell you where the model has failed before.
Related to this service
We show you our forecasts on your asset
Tell us your technology and node and we will walk you through the curve, the predictor and the revenue outlook for your case.